International Organization, Cambridge University Press, vol. " A Blessing or a Curse? State Support for Terrorist Groups," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. " Hostage taking: Understanding terrorism event dynamics," " Kidnap Insurance and its Impact on Kidnapping Outcomes,"ġ3-2012, ICER - International Centre for Economic Research.Įconometrica, Econometric Society, vol. " To Bargain or Not to Bargain: That Is the Question,"Īmerican Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. Journal of Law and Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. Journal of Peace Research, Peace Research Institute Oslo, vol. " Hostage Taking: Determinants of Terrorist Logistical and Negotiation Success," Khusrav Gaibulloev & Todd Sandler, 2009." Reputational Bargaining and Deadlines,"Įconometrica, Econometric Society, vol. Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. " Negotiating with Terrorists: The Costs of Compliance," Kerim Peren Arin & Eberhard Feess & Torben Kuhlenkasper & Otto F.Suggested CitationĬambridge University Press, number 9781107004566. Based on a competing-risk analysis, we identify factors, consistent with Nash bargaining, affecting three alternative outcomes for hostage incidents. The number of nonterrorists wounded and the heterogeneity of the hostage-taking squad generally reduce incident length. Sequential release of hostages, demanding the release of imprisoned comrades, changing demands during negotiations, capturing of protected persons, and engaging in kidnappings lengthen hostage incidents by affecting bargaining costs and perceived uncertainty. For hostage events, greater initial demands of the terrorists increase incident length by augmenting the negotiation spread. Our theoretical hypotheses are primarily based on John Cross’s bargaining model where negotiation duration depends on initial negotiation spread, bargaining costs, and perceived uncertainty. This paper applies survival analysis to ascertain the key empirical determinants of the duration of terrorist hostage-taking incidents during 1978–2018.
0 Comments
Leave a Reply. |